douard Philippe surges to 21 in 2027 poll, challenging far-right leader Bardella
A new Ifop poll for France’s 2027 presidential election shows former Prime Minister Édouard Philippe surging to 21% in a three-way race, positioning him as the strongest mainstream challenger to far-right leader Jordan Bardella. Conducted between 26 and 28 May 2026 with a sample of 1,368 respondents, the survey places Bardella’s Rassemblement National (RN) at 35%, up one point from September 2025, while Philippe’s Horizons party gains two points to reach 21%—his highest showing in any recent scenario .
Philippe’s rise contrasts sharply with the struggles of other centrist and left-wing candidates. Socialist Party leader Olivier Faure, who also competes in the same three-way scenario, collapses to 4%, a three-point drop since last September. Meanwhile, left-wing firebrand Jean-Luc Mélenchon holds steady at 13.5%, while centre-right Les Républicains’ Éric Retailleau slips to 10%. The poll suggests Philippe’s appeal extends beyond traditional conservative voters, as he outperforms both Faure and Retailleau in head-to-head matchups against Bardella.
In alternative scenarios, Philippe’s support remains robust. When the non-Mélenchon left unites behind Socialist MEP Raphaël Glucksmann, Philippe still commands 22%, a six-point jump from September, while Glucksmann’s endorsement only lifts his own score to 12% . Even with former President François Hollande as the left’s unity candidate, Philippe holds at 22%, underscoring his resilience against shifting alliances on the left.
The poll’s fieldwork coincides with growing speculation about Philippe’s presidential ambitions. Once a close ally of President Emmanuel Macron, Philippe has distanced himself from the ruling Renaissance party, positioning Horizons as a pragmatic alternative to both Macron’s centrist bloc and the far right. His strong polling performance suggests he could emerge as the primary obstacle to Bardella’s bid to become France’s first far-right president.
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