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NATO leaders gather in Ankara as Trumps unpredictability looms over summit
NATO's Rutte presses Trump on defence spending ahead of Ankara summit
NATO leaders gather in Ankara as Trump’s unpredictability looms over summit
NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte arrived in Washington late last month with a carefully crafted pitch: a dazzling display of gold-lettered charts titled “The Trump Trillion,” boasting that European allies and Canada had added $1.2tn to defence spending since Donald Trump took office in 2017. With the alliance’s 32 leaders set to convene in Ankara on Monday, Rutte’s mission is clear—keep Trump engaged, avoid public disputes, and project unity at a summit overshadowed by Middle East tensions and Russia’s war in Ukraine.
Rutte’s strategy hinges on flattery and economic incentives. Speaking to reporters, he highlighted Europe’s record defence outlays while unveiling plans for what he calls a “defence industrial revolution,” including tens of billions in new procurement deals designed to appeal to Trump’s business instincts. “I want to show you what this president was able to achieve,” Rutte told the press . The gambit reflects deep anxiety among European capitals about Trump’s commitment to NATO, with Claudia Major, a trans-Atlantic security expert at the German Marshall Fund, noting that leaders are desperate to “please Trump and to make a case for NATO” .
Germany has taken a direct approach. Chancellor Friedrich Merz told Trump on Friday that Berlin is ready to assume greater responsibility for European security, framing NATO as becoming “more European so that it can remain transatlantic” . Merz’s office said he emphasised Germany’s readiness to bolster Euro-Atlantic security, a message echoed by Polish Foreign Minister Radosław Sikorski, who vowed the summit would signal “Western unity” to Moscow .
Yet Trump’s recent barbs—posting charts that label NATO burden-sharing “ridiculous” and singling out Germany for criticism—underscore the fragility of the alliance’s cohesion . “If we have learned one thing about the US president over the last one-and-a-half years,” Major said, “it is that he can be very disruptive and it is difficult to predict what he is going to do” .
Turkey, meanwhile, is positioning itself as a bridge. Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan said Ankara and Washington share a “strong will” to lift CAATSA sanctions on Türkiye, while President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan discussed closer defence ties with Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni ahead of the summit . Belgian Defence Minister Theo Francken praised Turkish defence technology, calling Ankara “very important” to Europe’s security architecture .
Beyond alliance politics, the summit faces urgent regional crises. France and the UK are exploring a multinational mission to secure the Strait of Hormuz after Europe concluded that post-war vacuums could allow Iran to impose transit fees—a move Washington rejects . Sweden’s prime minister warned the summit comes at a “turbulent time” for European security, with leaders set to debate boosting defence industrial capacity and sustaining military aid to Ukraine .
As NATO’s largest-ever summit in Türkiye begins, the alliance’s future may hinge on whether flattery and economic carrots can outweigh Trump’s unpredictability. With Europe having replaced most US military cuts within NATO, the bloc’s leaders arrive in Ankara hoping to prove that the alliance remains indispensable—even to a president who has repeatedly questioned its value .
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