Walmart has reported that its customers in the U.S. are rationing petrol due to rising fuel costs linked to the ongoing Iran conflict. The retail giant absorbed higher fuel expenses to prevent price increases for consumers, but this has contributed to slower profit growth and a decline in its share value . Walmart’s financial performance has been directly impacted by the war, as it prioritized maintaining stable prices despite increased operational costs .
The Iran conflict has disrupted global oil markets, with the International Energy Agency (IEA) warning that oil supplies will enter a "red zone" by July or August due to surging demand, low reserves, and reduced exports from the Middle East. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz—a critical chokepoint for oil shipments—has exacerbated the shortage, with the IEA’s executive director, Fatih Birol, stating that reopening the strait is the most urgent solution to the energy crisis . Even if the war ended immediately, oil flows through the strait are not expected to return to normal until next year, prolonging the global economic strain .
The conflict has also triggered broader economic disruptions, including a potential global food crisis. A third of the world’s fertilizers are produced in the Gulf region, and the blockade of Hormuz has restricted exports, raising concerns about crop failures and food shortages. The EU has responded with financial aid for farmers to mitigate the impact . Additionally, the crisis has strained humanitarian efforts, such as aid deliveries to Sudan, where rising energy and food prices have worsened hunger .
Economic analysts warn that the Iran war’s impact will unfold in four waves, extending beyond energy price hikes to affect multiple sectors for years. The disruption of oil and fertilizer supplies is expected to have long-term consequences for global supply chains and inflation . Some experts have questioned why ships do not simply pay Iran for transit through Hormuz, as the economic costs of the blockade may outweigh the tolls imposed by Tehran . Meanwhile, surging energy demand in regions like India has led to record power consumption, further straining global energy resources .