Lithuania warns Russia may target Baltic, Polish infrastructure in hybrid attacks

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  1. Lithuania warns Russia may target Baltic, Polish infrastructure in hybrid attacks

  2. Baltic leaders warn Russia planning attacks on NATO infrastructure in Poland, Baltics

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VILNIUS, Lithuania (AP) — Lithuania’s president said Wednesday that intelligence assessments suggest that Russia is planning potential attacks on critical infrastructure in the Baltic states or Poland.

President Gitanas Nausėda said that authorities were monitoring the risk of attacks that could disrupt the country’s energy and transport systems, including facilities supporting Lithuania’s connections with the European electricity grid.

“I cannot deny that we have such information and that it concerns limited kinetic operations likely targeting critical infrastructure,” Nausėda told Lithuania’s BNS news agency.

Nausėda said that the intelligence didn’t identify a specific location or timing for the potential attacks. He said that such provocations could involve conventional or other means.

Russia dismissed the claim as an excuse to justify NATO’s military buildup in the Baltics. Latvian President Edgars Rinkēvičs similarly warned on Wednesday that, with Ukraine increasingly effective at putting pressure on Russia, Moscow might respond with provocations against NATO’s eastern flank.

“Even without a total Ukrainian victory, Russia may indirectly test Article 5 and response mechanisms at the Alliance and European Union levels,” Rinkēvičs said, referring to NATO’s common defense guarantee.

The three Baltic states — Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia — and Poland, all located on NATO’s eastern flank, have strengthened security around key transport and energy infrastructure in recent months in response to the Russian threat. The countries say they have long been targets of Russian hybrid attacks, a threat that has intensified since Moscow’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine began on Feb. 24, 2022.

On Tuesday and Wednesday, Poland intercepted Russian aircraft over the Baltic Sea that, according to the Polish government, were conducting surveillance of Poland’s air defense systems, despite remaining outside Polish territorial waters.

In Moscow, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov dismissed the Lithuanian intelligence warning about Russia’s purported plans to launch attacks on infrastructure in the Baltics and elsewhere in Europe.

“It’s a fresh batch of bugaboos intended to continue the brainwashing and prepare the population for further militarization,” Peskov told reporters. “To do this, they need to create an enemy image on the other side, our side in this case,” he said.

According to Ukrinform, this was reported by LRT. Speaking during a visit to Vilnius, Rinkēvičs said intelligence from Latvia, Lithuania and other NATO allies indicates that Russia is attempting to undermine regional security through “hybrid” operations.

According to the Latvian president, Russia could intensify provocations against the Baltic region as its military struggles to make gains in Ukraine, saying Moscow may seek to test NATO’s resolve through sabotage and hybrid attacks.

"We must be extremely prepared for the stage of the war in Ukraine where Russia no longer achieves victories and is unable to advance on the battlefield," Rinkēvičs said.

As previously reported by Ukrinform, Lithuanian President Gitanas Nausėda said intelligence services have information suggesting that Russia may be preparing provocations in Poland or the Baltic states in an attempt to test NATO's unity.

The Center for Countering Disinformation of the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine (CCD) reported that Russia may be preparing hybrid operations and military provocations against NATO countries, in particular Poland and the Baltic states.

This is evidenced by recent warnings from Polish Foreign Minister Radosław Sikorski and Lithuanian President Gitanas Nausėda. Russia’s behavior creates unprecedented challenges for European security.

In response to these hybrid threats, Western partners are already reviewing their defense strategies: strengthening the protection of critical infrastructure, increasing intelligence cooperation, and preparing measures to counter Russian provocations – the CCD states.

They add that Russia systematically resorts to hostile rhetoric regarding the Baltic states, trying to intimidate their citizens and justify its potential aggressive steps in advance.

Earlier, Polish Foreign Minister Radosław Sikorski warned Russia against carrying out provocations “under a false flag, using Ukrainian drones.” In turn, Lithuanian President Gitanas Nausėda stated that Vilnius has intelligence data that Russia is planning attacks on infrastructure, and this Baltic country will strengthen the protection of energy and transport facilities as a preventive measure.

Lithuania has recently tightened security at key transport and energy facilities.

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