Right-wing surge reshapes Baltic politics as Latvia First, Lithuanian coalition gain ground

Lithuania’s right-wing surge and Latvia’s Latvia First (LPV) are reshaping the Baltic political landscape ahead of parliamentary elections, with both movements capitalising on public frustration over governance and economic stagnation. On Thursday, *The Baltic Times* reported that Ignas Vegele, a former presidential candidate and current MP, is leading a right-wing coalition that has gained significant traction in Lithuania, while LPV is positioned to become the dominant force in Latvia’s next parliament .

Vegele’s movement, which emerged from widespread dissatisfaction with traditional parties, has drawn support from voters alarmed by economic stagnation and perceived governance failures. Analysts note that the right-wing surge reflects a broader regional trend, with LPV similarly positioned to lead Latvia’s political scene after capitalising on public discontent . The shift underscores a rejection of established political forces in both countries, where traditional parties have struggled to address voter concerns.

Meanwhile, Lithuania’s Social Democratic leader and prime minister candidate Mindaugas Sinkevicius has questioned the effectiveness of sanctions against Belarus, suggesting uncertainty over their impact. Speaking in Vilnius on Tuesday, Sinkevicius stated he was unsure whether sanctions and isolation had achieved their intended goals, highlighting divisions over foreign policy approaches .

Political analysts warn that apathy, rather than external threats, poses the greater risk to Lithuania’s democracy. Tomas Janeliunas, a professor at the Institute of International Relations and Political Science at Vilnius University, argued in *The Baltic Times* that declining civic engagement and voter disillusionment represent a more pressing challenge than geopolitical pressures .

As both countries prepare for pivotal elections, the rise of right-wing and populist forces signals a potential realignment of the Baltic political order. The coming weeks will determine whether these movements can translate momentum into lasting governance, or if traditional parties will adapt to reclaim influence.