Brazils Lula leads tight presidential race against far-right Bolsonaro son as foreign interference fears rise

Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, 80, faces a tight race against far-right senator Flávio Bolsonaro, 45, in Sunday’s first-round presidential election, with polls showing Lula leading 39% to 34% but the two nearly tied in a potential Oct. 25 runoff, according to the latest Quaest survey .
Flávio Bolsonaro, son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, seeks to restore his family’s political influence after the elder Bolsonaro was sentenced to 27 years under house arrest for conspiracy and attempted coup in 2022 . The election has drawn international attention, as a Bolsonaro victory could realign Brazil’s foreign policy, straining ties with the European Union and shifting the country toward the U.S. under Trump’s "Shield of the Americas" coalition .
Lula has framed his campaign around national sovereignty, pledging to strengthen Brazil’s defenses to prevent foreign interference, while Flávio Bolsonaro’s candidacy revives the right-wing agenda of his father, a Trump ally . Meanwhile, Brazil’s intelligence agency ABIN reported alleged U.S. and Russian interference in the election to French and German officials, citing a surge in cyberattacks ahead of the vote .
Voter apathy remains a challenge, with some low-income Brazilians like Marcia, a domestic worker in Rio de Janeiro, opting not to vote due to logistical hurdles, despite Lula’s modest wage increases .
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