Russia threatens nuclear response if NATO cuts off Kaliningrad, alliance dismisses warning

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Russia warned NATO this week it was prepared to use its entire arsenal, including nuclear weapons, if the alliance attempted to cut off Kaliningrad, its Baltic exclave between Poland and Lithuania, according to a diplomatic memo circulated to NATO member states.
NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte dismissed the threat, telling RFE/RL he did not take it “that seriously” and urging Moscow to “stop the nuclear threats.” Rutte reiterated that NATO is a defensive alliance and that Russian President Vladimir Putin knows he cannot win in a direct confrontation with NATO.
Latvian Defense Minister Raivis Melnis echoed Rutte’s stance, telling RFE/RL in a Sept. 30 interview that he saw no imminent threat. Melnis said Russia repeatedly resorts to nuclear threats to frighten Western populations, weaken support for Ukraine, and test NATO cohesion. Lithuanian President Gitanas Nauseda called the warning a “desperate statement,” adding that NATO has no plans for aggressive actions regarding Kaliningrad.
Arms-control specialists condemned Moscow’s language. Daryl Kimball, executive director of the Arms Control Association, told RFE/RL the threat should be taken seriously and condemned as unacceptable, citing the risks of escalation in a conflict involving nuclear-armed states. Kimball noted NATO does not appear to be preparing military action to isolate Kaliningrad.
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