With the 2026 US midterm elections days away, President Donald Trump faces mounting political headwinds as Democrats eye gains in Congress. Polling shows his approval at 32 percent, with 66 percent of Americans viewing him unfavorably, according to a Reuters/Ipsos survey . Analysts now give Democrats a 56 percent chance of flipping the Senate, down from 62 percent earlier this month .

Trump’s campaign has leaned into unproven claims of election interference, offering a $1 million reward for reports of voter fraud leading to convictions, announced Monday on Truth Social . His administration has also sued to block California from counting ballots it alleges come from non-citizens, with a Los Angeles court set to rule on the Justice Department’s request .

In Texas, Republican efforts to redraw districts have backfired, as Latino voters in the Rio Grande Valley shift toward Democrats. Polls show Democratic Senate candidate James Talarico leading by 30 points in some areas, with Latino support for Trump collapsing to 33 percent in recent surveys . Strategists attribute the swing to immigration raids and rising food and fuel costs, with one Republican analyst noting Trump’s policies have “directly attacked” Latino ranchers’ interests .

Early voting data in Georgia, a key Senate battleground, shows Democratic turnout surging 9 percent in districts won by Kamala Harris in 2024, while Republican areas remain flat . Senator Jon Ossoff has framed the race as a referendum on Trump’s economic policies, citing high costs for gasoline, groceries, and healthcare .

The financial stakes are unprecedented: political ad spending is projected to hit $11.6 billion, with Republican-aligned donors contributing 60 percent of the top $2.77 billion in donations . Elon Musk leads individual donors with $446 million to Republican groups .