Global markets mixed as UK inflation cools, AI stocks face correction risk
Global markets on Tuesday grappled with the dual forces of easing inflation and policy uncertainty, as investors parsed fresh data from the UK and the US while eyeing fresh corporate signals from Europe and Asia. Sterling slipped after UK inflation cooled to 2.8% in May, the lowest since early 2022, but equities remained mixed as traders weighed the outlook for interest rates against signs of resilient growth. The FTSE 100 slipped 0.3% by midday in London, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures hovered near record highs ahead of US producer-price figures due later in the session .
In corporate news, Santander Corporate & Investment Banking upgraded Spanish grocer Dia to overweight with a €52.30 price target, implying a 38% upside from Monday’s close. Analysts cited Dia’s improving liquidity and cost cuts as reasons for the upgrade, though they warned that consumer-spending trends remain fragile . Separately, Berkshire Hathaway’s latest 13-F filing showed that nearly 36% of Warren Buffett’s $400 billion equity portfolio is concentrated in just two stocks, prompting a wave of analyst notes asking whether the positions are still attractive after their recent run-up .
Across the Atlantic, Barclays warned that the AI-driven surge in technology shares may pause as valuations stretch and macro headwinds build. “The risk of a correction is rising,” said Barclays strategists in a note published Monday, citing stretched price-to-earnings multiples and the potential for higher-for-longer US rates . In Asia, the Nikkei and Topix rebounded as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East eased, lifting semiconductor stocks that had fallen sharply in May. The Bank of Japan’s policy meeting later this week is expected to keep ultra-loose settings in place, further underpinning risk appetite .
European investors also digested fresh data from Germany, where factory orders fell 1.1% in April, confounding expectations for a rebound. The decline underscored the fragility of the euro-area recovery and kept pressure on the European Central Bank to calibrate its easing path carefully. Meanwhile, Franklin Templeton chief investment officer Jenny Johnson told Handelsblatt that capital is flowing to Asia because of superior returns and regulatory clarity, warning that Europe risks losing out unless it improves its capital-markets union .
With US Treasury auctions drawing steady foreign demand in June, the Treasury market offered a rare pocket of stability, but analysts cautioned that any sign of wavering appetite could amplify volatility across risk assets .
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